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  • stocksmirf 10:05 on July 29, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Another day at the money makin’ factory … 

    ^

    Exclusively using SPM+Game Theory PRO the success ratings was 80%, representing 8 out of 10 suggestions  were correct with a 24-hour full cycle trading time limit.

    $EQIX, $EXR, $LRCX, $ARRS, $LOGI, $OI, $ORLY, $PSSI

    EQIX100821C00090000 Sell 3.50 2010-Jul-27 15:43:05 3.90 2010-Jul-29 09:53:06 0.40
    EQIX100821C00090000 Sell Call Option 2.04 2010-Jul-28 15:36:07 3.90 2010-Jul-29 09:52:21 1.86
    EXR Sell 15.39 2010-Jul-28 15:54:34 15.66 2010-Jul-29 09:45:38 0.27
    EQIX Sell 87.89 2010-Jul-28 15:30:14 92.41 2010-Jul-29 09:43:53 4.52
    LRCX Sell 41.72 2010-Jul-28 15:55:12 42.99 2010-Jul-29 09:41:36 1.27
    ARRS Sell 11.46 2010-Jul-28 15:56:15 10.35 2010-Jul-29 09:38:14 -1.11
    OI Sell 29.65 2010-Jul-28 15:56:54 30.00 2010-Jul-29 09:35:47 0.35
    PSSI Sell 18.24 2010-Jul-28 15:59:09 18.35 2010-Jul-29 09:35:01 0.11
    ORLY Sell 49.41 2010-Jul-28 15:57:36 49.39 2010-Jul-29 09:33:48 -0.02
    LOGI Sell 15.35 2010-Jul-28 16:00:51 16.51 2010-Jul-29 09:32:23 1.16

    8:10 am … LRCX – Retain Long Position: Other views —

    • Stifel Nicolaus raises price tgt to $56 from $51 noting that more credit is deserved for sustained performance. While firm anticipated a strong qtr driven by current market trends, believes the strong upside (and outlook) was driven by share gains in both its core etch and wet clean biz. Firm feels etch share wins in prior yrs are now turning into volume orders and shipments. Reits Buy rating and raises tgt to $56 reflecting a very conservative 10x new FY11 pro forma EPS est of $5.65, including options.
    • Caris & Co notes that LRCX delivered a strong beat and guidance crushed expectations. Firm believes the strong guidance and positive comments bode well for earnings over the next several qtrs which should outweigh some of the near term demand concerns for electronics. Although investors may be concerned about the sustainability of earnings, LRCX remains one of firm’s top picks due to market share gains and leverage to NAND Flash spending and would be buying on any weakness. Firm’s FY11 ests go to $3.24B/$5.67 from $2.54B/$3.59. Introduces FY12 ests of $3.43B/$6.11. Price tgt goes to $52 from $48 (or 9x times firm’s new CY11 ests).

    8:05 am … LRCX- Retain Long Position: LRCX gave a first-quarter outlook that far exceeded Wall Street expectations, on continued strong demand and market-share gains in its etch and clean product markets; forecast first-quarter earnings of $1.35, plus or minus 7 cents, per share, before items, on revenue of $790 million, give or take $15 million. Analysts on average were looking for earnings of 98 cents a share, before items, on revenue of $669.7 million.

    8:04 am … EXR-Retain Long Position: Total revenues for the three months ended June 30, 2010 were $68.8 million compared to $69.1 million for the three months ended June 30, 2009. Total expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2010 were $46.0 million compared to $66.7 million for the three months ended June 30, 2009. Interest expense, including non-cash interest charges relating to the Company’s exchangeable senior notes, was $16.6 million compared to $16.4 million for the three months ended June 30, 2009. Net income for the three months ended June 30, 2010 was $7.9 million compared to a net loss of $6.7 million for the three months ended June 30, 2009. The net loss in the second quarter of 2009 was due to a $20.2 million charge associated with severance and impairment charges related to the Company’s decision to wind down its development program. For the three months ended June 30, 2010, the Company’s top performing markets in terms of revenue growth were Baltimore/Washington D.C., Chicago, Dallas, Denver, New York City and New England. Markets performing below the Company’s portfolio average in revenue growth included Atlanta, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Phoenix and Tampa.Total revenues for the six months ended June 30, 2010 were $136.4 million compared to $138.3 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009. Total expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2010 were $92.7 million compared to $114.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009. Interest expense, including non-cash interest charges relating to the Company’s exchangeable senior notes, was $34.3 million compared to $33.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009. Net income for the six months ended June 30, 2010 was $13.1 million compared to $24.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009.

    8:00 am … ORLY- Retain Long Position: Net income was $99.6 million, or 71 cents per share, in the second quarter, up from $85.5 million, or 62 cents per share, a year earlier. ORLY  earned 81 cents per share on an adjusted basis, which excludes a charge of $15 million for estimated costs set aside to resolve an investigation undertaken by the Department of Justice. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of 74 cents per share. Sales rose 10 percent to $1.38 billion, as comparable-store sales rose nearly 8 percent. Analysts expected $1.35 billion. O’Reilly said it expects earnings of 69 cents to 73 cents per share for the third quarter and $2.64 to $2.74 for the full year. On an adjusted basis, the company expects to earn between $2.75 and $2.85 for the full year. Analysts were expecting earnings of 72 cents per share for the third quarter and $2.77 per share for the full year

    7:52 am … LOGI – Retain Long Position: Reports Q1 (Jun) earnings of $0.11 per share, $0.08 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.03; revenues rose 46.9% year/year to $479 mln vs the $456.5 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY11, sees FY11 revs of $2.3-2.35 bln vs. $2.32 bln Thomson Reuters consensus.

    6:44 am … OI – SELL into any rally: Second-quarter net income fell to $141.1 million, or 85 cents a share, from $149.3 million, or 88 cents a share, a year ago. Excluding one-time items, the company would have reported earnings of 90 cents a share in the latest quarter. Analysts estimated earnings of 93 cents a share on revenue of $1.82 billion.

    6:30 am …  EQIX – Retain Long Position: Oppenheimer upgrades EQIX to Outperform from Perform and sets target price at $115 based on a more constructive stance on EQIX shares predicated on improving visibility into 2H10/2011 growth trajectory with close of SDXC acquisition; faster-than-expected realization of synergy benefits, generating margin expansion in 4Q10 and beyond; and increased scale leaves EQIX in a dominant market position and should aid pricing power.

    6:00 am … ARRS – SELL Long Position into any rally: Posted lower-than-expected quarterly results and forecast a weak third quarter, and forecast third-quarter earnings of 16 cents a share to 20 cents a share, excluding items, on revenue of $270 million to $290 million. Analysts were looking for third-quarter earnings of 27 cents a share, before items, on revenue of $300.5 million. For the second quarter, the company earned $19.8 million, or 15 cents per share, compared with $22.9 million, or 18 cents a share. Excluding items, Arris earned 24 cents a share, slightly below analysts’ expectations of 25 cents a share.

    4:54 am ... PSSI- Retain Long Position: Net sales for the three months ended July 2, 2010, were $478.9 million, a decrease of 3.0%, compared with net sales of $493.6 million for the three months ended June 26, 2009. Net sales for the three months ended July 2, 2010, for the Physician Business decreased by 4.3% (1.8% decrease excluding H1N1-related product sales in last year’s first quarter) and increased by 0.5% for the Elder Care Business. Income from operations for the three months ended July 2, 2010, was $25.3 million compared with income from operations for the three months ended June 26, 2009, of $21.6 million. Net income for the three months ended July 2, 2010, was $13.8 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, compared with net income for the three months ended June 26, 2009, of $13.3 million, or $0.23 per diluted share. Gary A. Corless, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “A discernable slowdown in utilization in the office-based physician market contributed to weaker-than-expected revenue in our fiscal year first quarter, which was slightly offset by successful execution of our key strategies. We have adjusted our consolidated revenue goal for fiscal year 2011 to a range of -1% to 1% for same day sales to reflect current physician market uncertainty. Our customers are benefitting from our solutions designed to help them improve clinical outcomes and practice more effectively and efficiently. We maintain strong fundamentals and competitive positions in both of our businesses, with increasing margins and solid cash flow generation, and we remain confident in our ability to achieve our earnings goal of $1.27 — $1.31 per diluted share.”

     

  • stocksmirf 07:09 on July 29, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ First Look – morning directional planner 

    July 29, 2010, 7:00 am EDT .. The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures are up 6.20 to 1108.30, as the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 33.11 points, or 0.6 percent, at 5,352.79, Germany’s DAX rose 33.33 points, or 0.5 percent, to 6,212.27 and CAC-40 was 16.28 points, or 0.4 percent, higher at 3,686.64. Meanwhile, The euro broke out of its recent tight trading range against the dollar as the combination of strong continent earnings and economic news helped currency. The euro was $1.3087, its highest level since May 4. … Germany, Europe’s largest economy, is seemingly doing particularly well — figures Thursday showed the number of unemployed fell on a seasonally adjusted basis for the 13th month running. Figures from the European Commission, meanwhile, showed that economic conditions across the eurozone improved further. Its economic sentiment indicator (ESI) rose to 101.3 points in July from 99 in June. Most analysts were not expecting much of a change. … The U.S. Federal Reserve said in its monthly assessment into the U.S. economy that “activity has continued to increase, on balance, since the previous survey.” From very weak to weak — must be the new normal? Apparently the catalyst behind the latest euro advance was the pessimistic economic assessment from the U.S. Federal Reserve. In its monthly Beige Book, an assessment of economic conditions around the regions, the Fed added to market concerns that the U.S. economy lost momentum in the middle part of the year. Moreover, the Commerce Department reported that orders for big-ticket items, known as durable goods, unexpectedly fell in June for the second month running. Over the last few weeks, the economic data has underperformed market expectations, leading to concerns that the world’s largest economy is not recovering from recession as easily as imagined and that the Fed will not be raising interest rates anytime soon. … Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average fell 0.6 percent to 9,696.02 as investors locked in profits following a 2.7 percent jump the previous day. South Korea’s Kospi eased 0.2 percent to 1,770.88 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was steady at 21,093.82. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.1 percent to 4,524.1 on weakness in banks. Benchmarks in China, Taiwan, Indonesia and Singapore rose. … Benchmark crude for September delivery was up 23 cents at $77.22 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. … With the S&P 500 index futures above interim resistance of 1,117.51, the index would test 1136.93 (May 17th level) in the near term. However, low volume and exaggerated swings, stocks are being driven by earnings plays and plain vanilla manipulation. Don’t fight the tape, but remain cautious since no new money was added to the July advance in stock prices.

     

  • stocksmirf 16:36 on July 28, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ … Closing Thoughts.  

    July 28, 2010, 4:00 am EDT .. Closing Thoughts — The Standard and Poor’s 500 index closed down 7.71 to 1106.13, as close interim resistance of 1,117.51 didn’t happen to compromise technicals. Meanwhile, volume was weak even by summer standards, which has added to the day-to-day volatility. … The Federal Reserve said the economic recovery is slowing in some parts of the country. In its regional survey of the economy known as the “beige book,” the Fed said economic growth has been steady during the summer in Cleveland and Kansas City, but has slowed in Atlanta and Chicago. The central bank described economic activity elsewhere as modest. The Fed report had some sobering news about manufacturing, which had been one of the strongest parts of the economy. While manufacturing expanded in most of the Fed’s 12 regions, about half — New York, Cleveland, Kansas City, Chicago, Atlanta and Richmond — said manufacturing had “slowed” or “leveled off.” …The Fed assessment followed a disappointing Commerce Department durable goods orders report early in the day. Orders for durable goods, which are expected to last at least three years, fell 1 percent in June. Economists expected a 1 percent gain. … Under reported: The Labor Department said Wednesday that the unemployment rate rose in 291 of 374 areas in June from May. It fell in 55 areas and was flat in 28. That reverses the trend of the previous three months, when joblessness fell in most metro areas. The economic recovery has spurred some hiring, with private employers adding an average of 100,000 jobs each month this year. But the pace of hiring slowed in May and June and isn’t nearly fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate. Earlier this month, the government said the nation’s unemployment rate fell to a seasonally adjusted 9.5 percent in June from 9.7 percent in May. But before adjusting for seasonal factors, the rate actually rose to 9.6 percent from 9.3 percent. … Most of the cities with the largest increases in unemployment last month are college and university towns. Tuscaloosa, Ala., home to the University of Alabama, reported the second-largest jump in unemployment in the country, from 9 percent to 11.3 percent. … The unemployment rate in Ames, Iowa, home to the University of Iowa, rose to 5.8 percent from 4.8 percent, the sixth-largest rise. Grand Forks, N.D.; Fargo, N.D.; Champaign-Urbana, Ill.; Columbia, Mo.; and College Station-Bryan, Texas, all have major universities and all were among the areas with the 10 largest increases in unemployment. Among cities with more than 1 million residents, Las Vegas reported the highest jobless rate, at 14.5 percent. That was up from 14.1 percent in May. … The Washington metro area, bolstered by widespread federal government hiring, reported the lowest unemployment rate among large metro areas, with 6.4 percent. It was followed by Oklahoma City, Okla., which has benefited from the oil and gas industry, at 6.7 percent. … El Centro, Calif. and Yuma, Ariz. posted the highest unemployment rates in the country, 27.6 percent and 26.4 percent respectively. The two areas have large populations of seasonal agricultural workers. … Twelve areas recorded unemployment rates of 15 percent or higher, the government said, with 10 of them in California. … A poor jobs market, evaporated wealth from decimated home and stock values, hard-to-get credit and wages that aren’t supposed to advance sharply anytime soon mean consumers are still facing considerable headwinds. How consumers behave is crucial to the recovery because their spending accounts for roughly 70 percent of all economic activity. Not the time to buy the noise that “all is well in Stockville.”

    July 28, 2010, 7:00 am EDT .. The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures down 0.40 to 1110.50, as the governor of the Bank of England said Wednesday that the need to stimulate the economy still takes precedence over concerns about high inflation at a time when the outlook for the global economy remains uncertain. Governor Mervyn King told Parliament’s Treasury Committee, “We continue to face the challenge of rebalancing our economy away from consumption towards net exports, and raising our national savings rate. During the rebalancing, there is a risk that the level of money spending in the U. K. will remain weak, with the economy operating below capacity. That would push down on inflation potentially to a rate that is significantly below the 2 percent target. … The key underlying causes of the crisis in terms of the imbalances in global demand have still not been tackled. Those imbalances are likely to be larger this year than last, and will probably still be around three-quarters of their level at the peak immediately prior to the crisis.” … Meanwhile, The yen was down against the dollar, and the euro was up. Oil prices were above $77 a barrel after a report showed U.S. oil supplies unexpectedly rose last week, suggesting demand remains subdued. Britain’s FTSE index of 100 leading shares was up 0.3 percent to 5,365.67, Germany’s DAX was slightly higher at 6,209.26 and the CAC-40 in Paris added 0.4 percent to 3,680.01. … China’s central bank also said it believes the mainland’s economy is unlikely to suffer a “double dip,” or relapse into a slowdown, helping Chinese shares to rebound to a 12-week high, led by banks and real estate. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index jumped 58.3 points, or 2.3 percent, to close at 2,633.66, the highest since May 14. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average outpaced China, with a 2.7 percent jump to 9,753.27 after laser printer and digital camera marker Canon reported a surge in quarterly earnings. Sharp increases in Japanese automakers’ global production for the first half of the year, underlined a recovery in demand for new cars. Exporters were also helped by a softer yen, which boosts the value of their repatriated profits and makes their goods more competitively priced abroad. The Japanese currency approached 88 yen to the dollar — up from earlier this month, when the dollar sank to the mid-86 yen range. The improvement in sentiment caused broad-based buying. … In currencies, the dollar rose slightly to 88.04 yen from 87.76 yen late Tuesday in New York. The euro rose to $1.2996 from $1.2988. Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 9 cents at $77.41 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. … The current spin  across the board: Two weeks ago, people were wondering whether the U.S. was slipping back into a double dip. In fact, corporate results are very good. The market is starting to get the message that the economy is not so bad. Okay — buy the noise at your peril, but play the equities market like its true. Follow yesterday’s script — Major test today for S&P 500 index at interim resistance of 1,117.51, last held on June 18, 2010. With low volume and exaggerated swings, stocks are being driven by earnings plays. Trade the tape and remain flexible. Take profits and don’t allow the enthusiasm to buy paper cloud your mid-term view.

     

  • stocksmirf 10:45 on July 28, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    07.28.10 — Earnings Plays – NCL, PNRA, FISV, MEE, HGR, TBL, WBSN, ARW 

    … Hit the Bull’s Eye, again!

    Exclusively using SPM+Game Theory PRO the success ratings was  75%, representing 6 out of 8 suggestions  were correct with a 24-hour full cycle trading time limit.

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    Actual Trading  Book on the Earnings plays:

    NLC Sell 24.76 2010-Jul-27 15:32:38 25.22 2010-Jul-28 10:15:45 0.46

    10:05 am … NCL- SELL Long Position at market – last $25.31: NCL Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.41 per share, $0.07 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.34; revenues rose 19.1% year/year to $1.09 bln vs the $0.99 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY10, sees EPS of to exceed $1.40 vs. $1.43 Thomson Reuters consensus. Including July dispersant sales of $15 million that the co expects will conclude its support of the Gulf crisis response, organic revenues are expected to increase at a high single digit rate for the year. With organic sales up 11 percent on this basis through six months, this means second-half sales are expected to be up mid-single-digits organically.

    MEE Sell 29.83 2010-Jul-27 15:30:23 30.30 2010-Jul-28 10:04:20 0.47
    TBL Sell 18.35 2010-Jul-27 15:48:54 17.51 2010-Jul-28 09:56:29 -0.84
    PNRA100821P00075000 Sell Put Option 1.51 2010-Jul-26 15:32:41 1.55 2010-Jul-28 09:50:06 0.04
    HGR Sell 18.26 2010-Jul-27 15:24:17 17.95 2010-Jul-28 09:47:14 -0.31
    ARW Sell 24.21 2010-Jul-27 15:37:31 25.20 2010-Jul-28 09:41:52 0.99
    FISV Sell 47.75 2010-Jul-27 15:20:50 48.52 2010-Jul-28 09:40:57 0.77
    WBSN Cover 21.40 2010-Jul-27 13:03:52 18.55 2010-Jul-28 09:34:33 2.85

    9;15 am … MEE -  Continue to Retain Long Position: Stifel Nicolaus notes, last night, MEE reported a 2Q10 loss per share of $0.88, vs. its est of a $0.59 loss per share. Excluding a $128.9 mln charge related to the Upper Big Branch (UBB) mine disaster on April 5, 2010, MEE’s reported loss per share was $0.02, vs. the Street EPS of $0.31 and firm’s $0.44 EPS est. Co’s 2Q10 sales of 9.8 mln tons fell short of its expected 10.7 mln tons, driven by 700,000 tons of lower mine productivity and temporary shutdowns, and 220,000 tons of export shipments in late 2Q10 that were pushed into early July. … FBR Capital Mkts notes the EPS miss was worse than expected but, given the dramatic impact from UBB, is not surprising. More importantly, FBR is reducing its 2010 EBITDA est by 13% to reflect lower production guidance and higher cash operating costs. The co importantly quantified the UBB liability risk of $129 mln, including $62 mln on equipment/sterilized reserves, and unquantified investigation costs/benefits to the miners’ families. Many investors we spoke with were unsure of the amount, and management is providing some clarity, which it appreciates is hard to do at this early stage.

    8:24 am … ARW- Retain Long Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $1.01 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.20 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.81; revenues rose 36.0% year/year to $4.61 bln vs the $4.44 bln consensus. Co issues guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.96-$1.06, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.76 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees Q3 revs of $4.39-$4.79 bln vs. $4.36 bln Thomson Reuters consensus.

    8:19 am … WBSN -  Continue to retain Short Position: Websense downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan

    8:07 am … MEE-SELL Long Position at the market: Revenue totaled $810.1 million, compared with $697.6 million in 2009. The Upper Big Branch mine isn’t likely to reopen in 2010 because of ongoing investigations and damage from the April 5 explosion that killed 29 men. The blast contributed to a second-quarter loss of $88.7 million, or 88 cents per share, in the period. Massey earned $20.2 million, or 24 cents per share, in the same period a year earlier. Massey’s second-quarter results include $128.9 million in pretax charges because of the explosion. Excluding those charges, Massey said it would have lost $1.6 million or 2 cents per share. Massey said it shipped 1 million fewer tons than expected. Analysts expect Massey to earn 33 cents per share in the period.

    7:51 am … WBSN – Retain Short Position: Websense Inc.  said its second-quarter net income dipped 6 percent and the Internet filtering and security software maker issued revenue guidance lower than Wall Street was expecting, citing concerns about foreign exchange rates and the overall economy. For April through June, Websense’s net income fell to $3.1 million from $3.3 million in the year-ago quarter. Earnings per share were flat at 7 cents. That figure excludes certain items. Including them, Websense said it earned 31 cents per share.Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast lower earnings of 28 cents per share.

    7:10 am ... TBL – Retain Long Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) loss of $0.44 per share, includes items, may not be comparable to the Thomson Reuters consensus of ($0.34); revenues rose 5.2% year/year to $189 mln vs the $189.5 mln consensus. Results include a $13.2 million non-cash, pre-tax charge for the impairment of certain goodwill and intangible assets.

    7:03 am … HGR – Retain Long Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.37 per share, $0.01 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.36; revenues rose 6.4% year/year to $205.8 mln vs the $208.3 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $1.27-$1.29 vs. $1.28 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees FY10 revs of $815-$825 mln vs. $817.38 mln Thomson Reuters consensus.

    7:01 am … MEE-SELL Long Position at the market: Revenue totaled $810.1 million, compared with $697.6 million in 2009. The Upper Big Branch mine isn’t likely to reopen in 2010 because of ongoing investigations and damage from the April 5 explosion that killed 29 men. The blast contributed to a second-quarter loss of $88.7 million, or 88 cents per share, in the period. Massey earned $20.2 million, or 24 cents per share, in the same period a year earlier. Massey’s second-quarter results include $128.9 million in pretax charges because of the explosion. Excluding those charges, Massey said it would have lost $1.6 million or 2 cents per share. Massey said it shipped 1 million fewer tons than expected. Analysts expect Massey to earn 33 cents per share in the period.

    6:30 am … FISV – Retain Long Position: Reported a quarterly profit above market view, helped by growth in its payments and financial segments. For the second quarter, Fiserv said net income was $127 million, or 83 cents a share, compared with $140 million, or 90 cents a share last year. Adjusted earnings from continuing operations was $1 a share, Fiserv said. Total revenue rose 2 percent to $1.02 billion during the quarter. Analysts on average were looking for a profit of 96 cents a share, before items, on revenue of $1.01 billion.

     

  • stocksmirf 07:11 on July 28, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ First Look – morning directional planner 

    July 28, 2010, 7:00 am EDT .. The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures down 0.40 to 1110.50, as the governor of the Bank of England said Wednesday that the need to stimulate the economy still takes precedence over concerns about high inflation at a time when the outlook for the global economy remains uncertain. Governor Mervyn King told Parliament’s Treasury Committee, “We continue to face the challenge of rebalancing our economy away from consumption towards net exports, and raising our national savings rate. During the rebalancing, there is a risk that the level of money spending in the U. K. will remain weak, with the economy operating below capacity. That would push down on inflation potentially to a rate that is significantly below the 2 percent target. … The key underlying causes of the crisis in terms of the imbalances in global demand have still not been tackled. Those imbalances are likely to be larger this year than last, and will probably still be around three-quarters of their level at the peak immediately prior to the crisis.” … Meanwhile, The yen was down against the dollar, and the euro was up. Oil prices were above $77 a barrel after a report showed U.S. oil supplies unexpectedly rose last week, suggesting demand remains subdued. Britain’s FTSE index of 100 leading shares was up 0.3 percent to 5,365.67, Germany’s DAX was slightly higher at 6,209.26 and the CAC-40 in Paris added 0.4 percent to 3,680.01. … China’s central bank also said it believes the mainland’s economy is unlikely to suffer a “double dip,” or relapse into a slowdown, helping Chinese shares to rebound to a 12-week high, led by banks and real estate. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index jumped 58.3 points, or 2.3 percent, to close at 2,633.66, the highest since May 14. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average outpaced China, with a 2.7 percent jump to 9,753.27 after laser printer and digital camera marker Canon reported a surge in quarterly earnings. Sharp increases in Japanese automakers’ global production for the first half of the year, underlined a recovery in demand for new cars. Exporters were also helped by a softer yen, which boosts the value of their repatriated profits and makes their goods more competitively priced abroad. The Japanese currency approached 88 yen to the dollar — up from earlier this month, when the dollar sank to the mid-86 yen range. The improvement in sentiment caused broad-based buying. … In currencies, the dollar rose slightly to 88.04 yen from 87.76 yen late Tuesday in New York. The euro rose to $1.2996 from $1.2988. Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 9 cents at $77.41 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. … The current spin  across the board: Two weeks ago, people were wondering whether the U.S. was slipping back into a double dip. In fact, corporate results are very good. The market is starting to get the message that the economy is not so bad. Okay — buy the noise at your peril, but play the equities market like its true. Follow yesterday’s script — Major test today for S&P 500 index at interim resistance of 1,117.51, last held on June 18, 2010. With low volume and exaggerated swings, stocks are being driven by earnings plays. Trade the tape and remain flexible. Take profits and don’t allow the enthusiasm to buy paper cloud your mid-term view.

     

  • stocksmirf 16:33 on July 27, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ … Closing Thoughts.  

    July 27, 2010, 4:00 pm EDT .. Closing Thoughts — The Standard and Poor’s 500 index closed down 1.20 to 1113.82, after index hit a session high just above 1,120, near midpoint between its 2007 historic high and a 12-year low hit in 2009. SPM+Game Theory PRO suggested major retracement to indicate near term resistance. Meanwhile, 43 percent of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings so far this period with positive trend. … Consumer confidence fell in July to its lowest point since February, hurt by worries about the job market, according to a report from the Conference Board, a private research group. See: Speakers Corner for complete overview. … Three versions of the truth. What is your truth? This illustrates that preconceived ideas often distort the actual truth. Two or more people may look at the same subject and yet see different things. Some look at stocks and see a new bull market as part of a V-shaped recovery. Others look at the same stocks and see a W-shaped recovery. Yet, others look at the same stocks and conclude the worst is yet to come. Since there are so many opinions formed over the same subject, investors can come to one of two conclusions: 1) There is no consistency among the total sum of conclusions, therefore it is impossible to ascertain an outcome with any degree of certainty – investing is basically an arbitrary process. 2) There are certain indicators with a track record of accuracy. Those indicators point towards the real direction without being clouded by preconceived viewpoints. If you have come to the conclusion that investing is an arbitrary process (conclusion No. 1), you should seriously re-examine why you are invested in the first place. If you believe that there exist indicators which allow you to ascertain the market’s direction, you will find it interesting to see what those indicators are and how they should be applied correctly. The first and most important lesson to be learned is that the vast majority of investors (individuals and institutions) are usually wrong, that’s right; wrong. Here’s why: The herding effect – apparent truth. The herding effect could be explained in one sentence: If it’s too apparent, it’s apparently wrong. Herding is a social behavior; in fact, it is a phenomenon that reflects a contagious emotional, collective feeling. This feeling (positive or negative) spreads among investors progressively. If this doesn’t make sense quite yet, hang in there – it will be the single most important contributor to your investment success. Right now the HERDING EFFECT with the full support of the financial media controls the direction of the market. As for fundamental values and the truth — they do not exist. Indeed, the market’s rigged and everybody knows it!  With the support of BTD, you can beat the brokers, the talking heads and win at the second oldest game on the planet.

     

  • stocksmirf 10:40 on July 27, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    07.27.10 — Earnings Plays: MSPD, CR, CIT, GPI, WXS, IDTI, TMO 

    $MSPD – LOSS

    $CR – PROFIT

    $CIT – PROFIT

    $GPI – PROFIT

    $WXS – PROFIT

    $IDTI – PROFIT

    $TMO – PROFIT

    ^

    Exclusively using SPM+Game Theory PRO the success ratings was a 87.50, represents 7 out of 8 suggestion  were correct with a 24-hour full cycle trading time limit.

    What is  BEAT THE DART’S performance worth?

    $1000 a month? Maybe more?

    Why not?

    With consistent  success rating of over 80%, BTD is worth as much money you  want to make.  Indeed, if you’re not using BEAT THE DART to support your investment decisions … You are losing money.

    What makes the DART  so good?

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is the answer.

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is  a  powerful algorithm  years ahead of anything used today. Learn how to use  the site and its data to best fit your operational investing style. Whether as a resource source, investment guide or trading platform equalizer,   SPM+Game Theory PRO should by your primary  research tool.  As  a fact, professional traders exclusive use our data streams,  and our  S&P 500 index  perimeters to set their computer systems.  *Check Terminology for a complete description of SPM+Game Theory PRO.

    WXS Cover 34.75 2010-Jul-26 14:56:18 33.60 2010-Jul-27 10:25:54 1.15
    GPI100821C00030000 Sell Call Option 0.99 2010-Jul-26 15:28:30 1.40 2010-Jul-27 10:09:13 0.41
    IDTI Sell 5.49 2010-Jul-26 11:16:17 5.93 2010-Jul-27 09:56:06 0.44
    TMO Cover 50.83 2010-Jul-26 15:13:18 46.99 2010-Jul-27 09:50:19 3.84

    9:40 am …  TMO – Retain Short Position: Profit rose 15 percent in the second quarter as sales increased in both its lab services and analytics businesses; $237.3 million, or 57 cents per share, compared to $206.9 million, or 49 cents per share, a year ago. Excluding amortization costs and other one-time items, the company said it earned 84 cents per share. Revenue grew 7 percent to $2.65 billion from $2.48 billion for the quarter ended July 3. Thermo Fisher said revenue from its laboratory products and services revenue grew 5 percent to $1.68 billion, and analytical technologies revenue rose 10 percent to $1.11 billion. Some sales are counted to both businesses, leading to an overlap of $132.9 million.Street expecting a profit of 84 cents per share and $2.66 billion in revenue.

    CR Sell 33.51 2010-Jul-23 13:00:51 36.09 2010-Jul-27 09:37:24 2.58
    MSPD Sell 8.74 2010-Jul-26 12:41:02 8.50 2010-Jul-27 09:41:09 -0.24
    CIT Sell 38.58 2010-Jul-26 15:18:48 39.55 2010-Jul-27 09:34:17 0.97

    8:30 am … IDTI  Retain Long Position: Reported first quarter net income of $10.4 million, or 6 cents a share, compared to a loss in the same period last year of $14.1 million, or 9 cents a share.,  revenue of $158.3 million, up 36 percent from the year-ago quarter’s $116 million. Excluding items, IDT would have earned $23.3 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with non-GAAP income of $3.5 million, or 2 cents a share in the same quarter last year. “We outgrew the broader semiconductor market in Q1 with a 15 percent sequential increase in revenue driven by broad based strength across our communications, computing and consumer end markets,” said CEO Ted Tewksbury. “Our secular growth story is beginning to materialize in fiscal 2011. We are defending and growing our core businesses while expanding our content in customers’ systems with new analog-intensive mixed signal solutions to achieve higher growth rates. In addition, gross margin reached its highest level in four years, reflecting improved product mix and enabling us to deliver stronger than anticipated operating margins.”

    7:38 am … WXS – Retain Short Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.68 per share, $0.03 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.65; revenues rose 17.3% year/year to $91.4 mln vs the $90.5 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.65-$0.70 vs. $0.68 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees Q3 revs of $91-$96 mln vs. $95.88 mln Thomson Reuters consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $2.47-$2.57 vs. $2.50 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees FY10 revs of $354-$364 mln vs. $362.81 mln Thomson Reuters consensus.

    7:24 am ... GPI – Retain CALL OPTION: GPI100821C00030000 -  Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.75 per share, $0.10 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.65; revenues rose 27.9% year/year to $1.42 bln vs the $1.32 bln consensus. Group 1 also announced that its board of directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $25.0 million of the company’s common stock.

    6:46 am … CIT – Retain Long Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.71 per share, $0.38 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.33. Total interest income +5.6% at $1.049 bln; Reported net charge-offs of $106 mln were up $64 mln from the first quarter. The provision for credit losses increased from the first quarter, reflecting the recording of non-specific reserves and some incremental deterioration on loans previously discounted in FSA. Continued focus on balance sheet optimization resulted in total assets declining $3.1 bln to $54.9 bln. Strategic asset sales, net portfolio collections and $800 mln in new financings, enabled the paydown of $3 bln of debt.

    6:41 am … CR- Retain Long Position: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.66 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.07 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.59; revenues rose 1.3% year/year to $552.8 mln vs the $543.1 mln consensus. Co raised guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $2.35-2.50 vs. $2.39 Thomson Reuters consensus, up from the high end of the range of $2.15-2.35.

    6:34 am ... MSPD – Retain Log Position: Reports Q3 (Jun) earnings of $0.18 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.15; revenues rose 32.4% year/year to $43.1 mln vs the $42.8 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q4, sees Q4 revs of $43.7-45.9 vs. $44.43 mln Thomson Reuters consensus.

     

  • stocksmirf 07:08 on July 27, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ First Look – morning directional planner 

    July 27, 2010, 7:00 am EDT .. The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures up 5.20 to 1114.20, as the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 40.25 points, or 0.8 percent, at 5,391.37, Germany’s DAX rose 19.27 points, or 0.3 percent, to 6,213.48 and CAC-40 in France was 34.20 points, or 0.9 percent, higher at 3,670.38. Tuesday’s sentiment came largely from Germany’s Deutsche Bank AG, which reported an unexpected 9 percent rise in second-quarter earnings as gains at its transaction banking and asset management operations helped counter a weaker investment banking performance. Meanwhile, an upbeat survey into Germany consumer confidence from the GfK institute also added weight to tae argument that Europe’s largest economy is growing faster than most in the markets have been expecting. Signals have helped foster an improved appetite across markets and investors will be looking if the euro can finally sustain a break above $1.30. It failed to do so Tuesday as traders use the $1.30 level as an opportunity to book profits. Earlier the euro had climbed to a high of $1.3023, just shy of its four-month high recorded last week of $1.3028. At the moment the the euro was down 0.1 percent on the day at $1.2971, while the dollar was 0.4 percent higher at 87.25 yen. … Earlier in Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng closed up 133.48 points, or 0.6 percent, to 20,973.39 but Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average was off 6.81, less than 0.1 percent, to 9,496.85. South Korea’s Kospi Index fell, albeit slightly, by less than 1 point to settle at 1,768.31 and China’s Shanghai Composite Index declined 0.5 percent to 2,575.37. … Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 6 cents at $78.92 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Surging U.S. stock markets have underpinned oil prices as traders often look to equities as a barometer of overall investor sentiment. The S&P 500 index was up 1 percent Monday and is up about 4 percent in the last three trading sessions. As suggested, a relatively close linkage between the stock market and the oil should not be discounted. Meanwhile, U.S. crude inventories in recent weeks have either grown or fallen less than analysts expected, suggesting consumption remains tepid. The American Petroleum Institute reports supply data for last week later Tuesday with the Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration reporting Wednesday. Moreover, oil fundamentals are looking more bearish with each successive EIA report. … Major test today for S&P 500 index at interim resistance of 1,117.51, last held on June 18, 2010. With low volume and exaggerated swings, stocks are being driven by earnings plays. Trade the tape and remain flexible. Take profits and don’t allow the enthusiasm to buy paper cloud your mid-term view.

     

  • stocksmirf 17:30 on July 26, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    What is BEAT THE DART’S performance worth? 

    What is  BEAT THE DART’S performance worth?

    $1000 a month? Maybe more?

    Why not?

    With consistent  success rating of over 80%, BTD is worth as much money you  want to make.  Indeed, if you’re not using BEAT THE DART to support your investment decisions … You are losing money.

    What makes the DART  so good?

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is the answer.

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is  a  powerful algorithm  years ahead of anything used today. Learn how to use  the site and its data to best fit your operational investing style. Whether as a resource source, investment guide or trading platform equalizer,   SPM+Game Theory PRO should by your primary  research tool.  As  a fact, professional traders exclusive use our data streams,  and our  S&P 500 index  perimeters to set their computer systems.  *Check Terminology for a complete description of SPM+Game Theory PRO.

    FOE Sell 9.04 2010-Jul-26 09:00:10 9.15 2010-Jul-26 14:35:37 0.11
    GS Cover 147.72 2010-Jul-26 14:27:21 147.30 2010-Jul-26 14:35:10 0.42
    BA Cover 68.57 2010-Jul-26 14:23:41 68.44 2010-Jul-26 14:34:40 0.13
    CMG Cover 143.80 2010-Jul-23 12:12:37 142.52 2010-Jul-26 14:33:53 1.28
    CMG Cover 144.75 2010-Jul-23 13:16:59 142.52 2010-Jul-26 14:31:26 2.23
    X Cover 47.70 2010-Jul-23 12:11:55 48.97 2010-Jul-26 14:29:07 -1.27
    X Cover 49.20 2010-Jul-26 10:32:36 48.91 2010-Jul-26 14:28:41 0.29
    X Cover 49.31 2010-Jul-26 14:25:29 48.90 2010-Jul-26 14:28:16 0.41
    BP Cover 38.66 2010-Jul-26 14:05:35 38.47 2010-Jul-26 14:13:38 0.19
    BA Cover 38.70 2010-Jul-26 14:03:40 38.70 2010-Jul-26 14:04:46 0.00
    BP Sell 36.96 2010-Jul-26 07:19:11 38.33 2010-Jul-26 10:34:11 1.37
    RIMM Cover 55.70 2010-Jul-26 09:33:22 55.00 2010-Jul-26 09:46:43 0.70
    FDX Sell 82.22 2010-Jul-26 09:43:43 83.10 2010-Jul-26 09:46:20 0.88
    ESI Cover 85.14 2010-Jul-26 07:24:50 83.40 2010-Jul-26 09:44:43 1.74
    EL Cover 62.51 2010-Jul-26 07:22:51 61.72 2010-Jul-26 09:42:33 0.79
    FDX Sell 81.09 2010-Jul-26 09:10:23 82.70 2010-Jul-26 09:34:53 1.61

    The ProDayTrades™ features -  the Stocksmirf’s Pro Day Trade action throughout the trading  day,automatically billed to your Credit Card on a monthly basis. To subscribe to this service you  must be a registered site member. The ProDayTrades™ monthly fee is only $29.99 without any long  term obligation.

    Are you ready to make big money in the stock market?

     

  • stocksmirf 16:45 on July 26, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ … Closing Thoughts.  

    July 26, 2010, 4:00 pm EDT .. Closing Thoughts — The Standard and Poor’s 500 index closed up 12.35 to 1115.01, as the Commerce Department said sales of new homes increased to an annual rate of 330,000 units in June. The gain came after sales hit a record low in May. The sales came in ahead of the estimates of economists polled by Dartline. The enthusiasm appears suspect since the numbers were weak. Sales fell sharply in May after a tax credit for home buyers expired at the end of April. Investors have been concerned that the credit was propping up the housing market and that sales would stay at low levels now that buyers have fewer incentives. Knowing new here to justify market’s action. … FedEx Corp (FDX) – last $83.39 +4.43 — FedEx became the latest big US company to raise its full-year earnings guidance, adding to evidence that the country’s industry is steering its way through an uneven global recovery. Indeed, FedEx is seen as an economic bellwether since companies tend to ship more when their orders increase. … Bond prices were narrowly mixed. The yield on the 10-year note, which moves opposite its price, was unchanged at 3.00 percent compared with late Friday. That yield helps set interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans. … European markets rose slightly as investors had their first chance to react to a series of tests that assessed the health of the continent’s big banks. Regulators said only seven of the 91 banks tested would struggle if the European economy and government debt problems worsened. Meanwhile, Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.7 percent, Germany’s DAX index rose 0.5 percent, and France’s CAC-40 gained 0.8 percent. Japan’s Nikkei stock average rose 0.8 percent. …. Under reported: Deutsche Bank issued a new economic report that asked the question: Is China at the “turning point” in its macro policies? The answer is yes. Based on the numbers China’s economy has materially weakened and would continue in next six months. Two-third of its economic loans for international projects will default since the revenue streams to amortize the debt are non-existent. From a property bubble and uncertain outlook for exports into a fragile global economy, to fears over bad loans — all equal to major headwinds ahead. … Confirming the trend: The Shanghai A-share index has the world’s second-worst performing equity market this year. Even though valuations are getting cheap, dividend yield on the CSI 300 at 1.5% versus a historic mean of 2.6%. Mainland Chinese companies in general are still poor at paying out decent dividends. Meanwhile H-shares in Hong Kong should be watched as a proxy for any strengthening of A-shares. Another interesting trend is the narrowing of the traditional A-share premium over H-shares. It now stands at just 0.7%, versus a long-term average of 28.6%. … Watch H shares to play the China card and determine direction of world markets

     

  • stocksmirf 06:48 on July 26, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ First Look – morning directional planner 

    July 26, 2010, 7:00 am EDT … The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures down 0.70 to 1099.90, as the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 1.82 point at 5,310.80 while Germany’s DAX down 6.40 points, or 0.1 percent, at 6,159.95, while The CAC-40 in France was up 1.23 point at 3,608.28. European stock markets and the euro were steady Monday as investors weighed the results of the stress tests into 91 EU banks — although the simulations gave a broadly positive view of the region’s financial sector, some analysts question their rigor. Key point of interest was how the markets would respond to the release of the stress test results, published after the markets closed last Friday. On the surface, the results showed that Europe’s banking sector is strong enough to deal with any future economic and financial shocks — the Committee of European Banking Supervisors said only seven banks failed the tests and only needed to shore up their finances by $4.5 billion. However, both the number of banks failing and the capital shortfall identified were lower than most expectations in the markets, raising questions over the credibility of the whole exercise. Crucial for those dismissing the results as a whitewash was the fact there was no test for a potential Greek debt default. … Depending on your point of view you can regard the tests as some sort of ‘milestone’ which puts the eurozone banking crisis to bed and is therefore positive for markets, or you can take the view that the tests were simply ‘political whitewash’ that doesn’t resolve funding and capital needs, issues of counterparty risk and the possibility of eventual debt restructuring/default. Indeed, the stress tests are not the only thing occupying traders’ minds. … Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose 0.8 percent to 9,503.66 after a report showing exports from the world’s No. 2 economy rose for the seventh straight month in June. South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6 percent to 1,769.07 after figures showed the country’s economic growth over the last year was a hefty 7 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.1 percent to 20,839.91, and markets in Taiwan, New Zealand and Thailand also advanced. China’s Shanghai Composite Index reversed course and finished up 0.7 percent to 2,588.68. … In the currency markets, the dollar was down 0.4 percent at 87.14 yen while the euro was unchanged at $1.29. Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 40 cents at $78.58 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. … Continue to use S&P 500 interim resistance at interim test at 1,117.51, last held on June 18, 2010. Meanwhile, market fluctuations are exaggerated by volume volume. Short term day trading and “special situations” positioning should be your near term agenda. No sense second guessing the noise and allow the market to come to you. Use support at 1074.80 and trade range to resistance.

     

  • stocksmirf 17:45 on July 23, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    What is BEAT THE DART’S performance worth? 

    What is  BEAT THE DART’S performance worth?

    $1000 a month? Maybe more?

    Why not?

    With consistent  success rating of over 80%, BTD is worth as much money you  want to make.  Indeed, if you’re not using BEAT THE DART to support your investment decisions … You are losing money.

    What makes the DART  so good?

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is the answer.

    SPM+Game Theory PRO is  a  powerful algorithm  years ahead of anything used today. Learn how to use  the site and its data to best fit your operational investing style. Whether as a resource source, investment guide or trading platform equalizer,   SPM+Game Theory PRO should by your primary  research tool.  As  a fact, professional traders exclusive use our data streams,  and our  S&P 500 index  perimeters to set their computer systems.  *Check Terminology for a complete description of SPM+Game Theory PRO.

    Today’s ProDay Trader results:

    CMG Cover 143.81 2010-Jul-23 10:39:04 142.52 2010-Jul-23 12:00:40 1.29
    CPWR Cover 8.14 2010-Jul-23 09:42:00 8.11 2010-Jul-23 11:41:41 0.03
    SNDK Cover 40.99 2010-Jul-23 10:00:04 40.92 2010-Jul-23 10:14:21 0.07
    CMG Cover 140.88 2010-Jul-23 09:44:05 139.99 2010-Jul-23 10:07:17 0.89
    MCD Cover 71.34 2010-Jul-23 08:07:39 70.16 2010-Jul-23 10:05:19 1.18
    X Cover 47.08 2010-Jul-23 09:33:10 46.61 2010-Jul-23 10:03:16 0.47
    X Cover 47.67 2010-Jul-23 09:46:48 46.55 2010-Jul-23 10:02:42 1.12
    AMZN Sell 105.92 2010-Jul-23 09:36:05 110.37 2010-Jul-23 09:49:33 4.45
    CMG Sell 138.02 2010-Jul-23 09:37:53 140.97 2010-Jul-23 09:40:50 2.95
    CMG Cover 138.20 2010-Jul-23 09:34:18 137.85 2010-Jul-23 09:37:02 0.35
    BA Sell 62.01 2010-Jul-16 13:03:30 66.71 2010-Jul-23 09:22:19 4.70

    The ProDayTrades™ features -  the Stocksmirf’s Pro Day Trade action throughout the trading  day,automatically billed to your Credit Card on a monthly basis. To subscribe to this service you  must be a registered site member. The ProDayTrades™ monthly fee is only $29.99 without any long  term obligation.

    Are you ready to make big money in the stock market?

     

  • stocksmirf 16:59 on July 23, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline™ … Closing Thoughts. 

    July 23, 2010, 4:00 pm EDT … Closing Thoughts -– The Standard and Poor’s 500 index closed up 8.99 to 1102.66, as the market discounted the EU bank stress-test and started to rally on strong earnings and economic data. Companies that reported earnings that pleased Wall Street include Verizon Communications (VZ), up 4.07 percent, Honeywell (HON), up 2.09 percent, and Ford (F), up 4.96 percent. General Electric (GE) jumped 3.35 percent after announcing a 20 percent hike in its dividend and the resumption of share buybacks. … Data from Europe surprised to the upside as Germany’s Ifo business climate index jumped to 106.2 for July, a 4.4-point increase from last month, which is the biggest jump since the reunification of Germany in 1990. … EU Bank Stress-Test: The reaction to the EU bank stress-test results was mixed. On the one hand, fewer banks than expected – 7 to be exact – failed, while investors were expecting 15 failures, according to a survey conducted by Dartline. However, because the stress-test criteria did not include haircuts to sovereign bonds held to maturity (only those held in trading books), many investors thought the tests were too lenient to be credible. … The euro declined against the U.S. dollar in anticipation of the results, which was released at noon New York time. However, after the release, the euro rallied and pared almost all the losses. … A $3 trillion dollar problem: During the fall 2008 financial crisis, investors stopped buying the mortgage securities issued by the housing finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The two companies buy mortgages made by banks and other lenders, providing money for new rounds of lending, then package those loans into securities for sale to investors, replenishing their own coffers. In last November 2008, the Fed announced that it would buy $500 billion in securities issued by the two companies. By the time the program wound down in March 2010, it had spent more than twice that amount. The central bank now owns mortgage securities with a face value of $1.1 trillion. … A wide range of economists say the Fed’s program – so big that purchases outstripped the issuance of new securities in some months – helped to preserve the availability of mortgage loans and helped to hold interest rates near record lows. Rates that exceeded 6 percent in late 2008 remain below 5 percent today.Here, in effect, is the trade-off:While officials and economists generally regard the program as successful in supporting the housing market, it has left the Fed holding a vast pile of mortgage securities – basically i.o.u.’s from homeowners – that it does not want and cannot sell. … Holding the securities could cost the Fed a lot of money and hamper its ability to fight inflation, while selling the securities could drain needed money from the still-weak economy. Fed officials have expressed confidence that they can finesse the dilemma by gradually selling the securities as the economy starts to recover. Don’t count on it.
     

  • stocksmirf 07:37 on July 23, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    July 23, 2010, 7:30 am EDT … BTD is in the final beta test phase of its transition to better and faster execution platform to take full advance of  SPM+Game Theory PRO matrix. With the enhanced posting procedures and formatting, BTD is able to increase the execution time to 15 second from 55 seconds. Therein, we are able to access and evaluate 147 fields in 15 seconds to determine the best trade within 4500 candidates. Based the results to date, system reliable has increased overall performance rating by 4 levels.  As scheduled, July 26, 2010 remains the  launch date of  the most reliable data and investment tracking tools ever developed.

    July 23, 2010, 7:00 am EDT … The Standard and Poor’s 500 index futures are 5.10 to 1092.20, as the dollar fell against the yen and the euro. With U.S. stocks rallied to a two-week high on low volume, the main source of the upside exuberance can be directly traced to the carry trade, short covering and better than expected earnings’ plays. Apparently, equities are set to extend gains as investors worldwide wait for results from European bank stress tests. The tests could remove some uncertainty about how mounting government debt in many European countries could affect the financial sector. Wrong analysis, but the way the “tests” are constructed the results will met expectations. … Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average jumped 2.3 percent to close at 9,430.96 in broad-based gains. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 1.1 percent to 20,815.33, South Korea’s Kospi advanced 1.3 percent to 1,758.06, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 1.9 percent to 4,458.40. Indexes in China, Thailand and Taiwan were also higher. … Europe also was in an upbeat mood ahead of the release of a stress test of 91 banks that most institutions are expected to pass. Britain’s FTSE 100 index was up 0.1 percent to 5,320.94. Germany’s DAX added 0.6 percent to 6,181.50 and France’s CAC-40 rose 0.5 percent to 3,622.87. Wall Street was set for a higher opening, with Dow futures up 50 points, or 0.5 percent, or 10,315 points. The broader S&P 500 futures contract was up 5.9, or 0.5 percent, to 1,093.60. … In currencies, the dollar fell to 86.97 yen from 87.14 yen late Thursday, while the euro rose to $1.2945 from $1.2897. … Benchmark crude for September delivery was down 0.23 at $79.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract surged $2.74 on Thursday to settle at $79.30, a 10-week high. … Continue to use S&P 500 resistance at 1,130.35 as the primary maximum range, while interim test at 1,117.51, last held on June 18, 2010, will indicate strength of current, low volume rally. Moreover, it is not to time to add to long term positions, but to sell into strength, eliminate laggards and take profits. Short term day trading and “special situations” positioning should be your near term agenda. … Even with the two week stock rally, the S&P index is off 1.7 percent this year as U.S. data on home sales, manufacturing and unemployment, Europe’s debt crisis and slowing economic growth in China has not gone away. Trader and the other kind wants to believe otherwise. At this point “go with the flow” as the S&P 500’s moving-average convergence/divergence, or MACD momentum indicator, and the Dow Jones’ Bollinger bands show a bullish trend.

     

  • stocksmirf 14:52 on July 22, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Penny Ticker coming soon. 

    July 22, 2010, 2:30 pm EDT … SPECIAL NOTICE — Penny Ticker is the new location that continues the outstanding performance of Jellybean Trader. On a $10,000 initial capital investment on 01.02.10, the return was $56,201.40 or 562% to 06.04.10 (the date the portfolio was completely liquidated). Indeed, the performance would have been materially less if SPM+Game Theory PRO algorithms were not applied. In the same period, the Russell 2000 index (^RUT) of smaller stocks dropped fell 33.40, or 5 percent, to 633.97. Penny Ticker uses ^RUT as our primary indicator, which is a small-cap stock market index of the bottom 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index, and most widely quoted measure of the overall performance of the small-cap to mid-cap company shares. The Russell 2000 represents the common benchmark for mutual funds that identify themselves as “small-cap”, while the S&P 500 Index is used primarily for large capitalization stocks. ^RUT represents approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The average market capitalization for a company in the index is around $530 million. The median market cap is around $410 million. … For the year ending December 2009,  Penny Ticker (Jellybean Trader) has the best performance rating of 310 business sites that offer financial information on so called “penny stocks” with at least 100 full circle transactions. Anyone can get lucky by picking a few winners and brag about them for years, while hiding their losses. Penny Ticker has no hidden agenda — we don’t “pump and dump” someone bullshit dogs, nor do we solicit companies to “tout” their worthless paper. Our reporting and data collections are based on statistical analysis of 109 proprietary standards that encompass a “subjective probability” as to what represents the true worth of the targeted investment and the degree of risk associated with the proposed commitment. No investment firm, financial professional or the other kind have such a database, or the ability to match our strict standards. Performance-wise, Penny Ticker has taken on all the challengers and consistently proved to be the very best.

    2006 performance $ 2,890.00

    2007 performance $ 3,430.00

    2008 performance $ 1,050.00

    2009 performance $29,240.60

    2010 performance $ 56,201.40 **

    Total gain for the period $92,812.00***

    *** On the original starting capital of $10,000, net gain to June 4, 2010 was 928.12%. Each trade is fully documented and disclosed from three, independent, verifiable sources.

    Are you ready to make big money in the stock market with pennies?


     

  • stocksmirf 16:43 on July 16, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Dartline’s Closing Thoughts … 

    July 16, 2010, 4:00 pm EDT … Closing Thoughts — The Standard and Poor’s 500 index was down 31.57 to 1064.91 on low value and flat U.S. dollar. Investors turned pessimistic on growth prospects for other major U.S. companies as Citigroup (C) and General Electric (GE) posted lackluster results. Add growing worries that financial regulatory overhaul will hurt bank earnings and the direction was set for a sizable decline. Financials posting the biggest declines on the Standard & Poor’s 500 index. Citigroup shares fell 5.1% ($3.90) and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM – last $39.00) fell 3.4%. … The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted consumer price index fell 0.1% last month, less than an revised 0.2% decline in May. Economists had been looking for the rate to remain unchanged in June. Core consumer prices, closely watched by the Federal Reserve, were up 0.2% last month, more than the 0.1% increase expected by economists. That larger-than-expected increase in core prices shouldn’t change expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates at record lows well into next year, though it will likely ease fears of deflation. … In other markets, the euro hit a two-month high against the dollar, breaking the $1.30 barrier before slipping back slightly. The U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was flat. Treasurys moved higher, with the yield on the 10-year note falling below 3.0%. ... This morning Dartline offered, ” Moreover, it is not to time to add to long term positions, but to sell into strength, eliminate laggards and take profits. Short term day trading and “special situations” positioning should be your near term agenda.”  Thus, our agenda was set to a downside bias. Using the faster SPM+Game Theory PRO matrix, the net performance rating on 17 full cycle trades was 82.35 accuracy. With the enhanced posting procedures and formatting, BTD is able to increase the execution time to 15 second from 55 seconds. Therein, we are able to access and evaluate 147 fields in 15 seconds to determine the best trade within 4500 candidates. Today’s action supports our program that SPM+Game Theory PRO ratings were more reliable and increased overall performance rating by 4 levels. By July 26, 2010, Dartline projects to launch the most reliable data and investment tracking tools ever developed.

     

  • stocksmirf 15:53 on July 16, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Today’s Performance — 82.35% accuracy. 

    AAPL Sell 249.29 2010-Jul-16 13:08:31 250.49 2010-Jul-16 13:12:18 1.20
    GS Sell 150.01 2010-Jul-16 10:21:46 148.21 2010-Jul-16 13:10:04 -1.80
    AAPL Cover 250.39 2010-Jul-16 13:00:04 248.93 2010-Jul-16 13:05:46 1.46
    AAPL Sell 251.40 2010-Jul-16 10:19:44 250.41 2010-Jul-16 12:59:19 -0.99
    IR Sell 34.30 2010-Jul-16 10:29:59 34.75 2010-Jul-16 12:17:35 0.45
    BP Sell 37.20 2010-Jul-16 10:18:07 37.47 2010-Jul-16 12:17:02 0.27
    FCX Cover 62.41 2010-Jul-16 10:08:09 61.68 2010-Jul-16 10:16:25 0.73
    BA Cover 63.21 2010-Jul-16 10:10:48 62.37 2010-Jul-16 10:14:47 0.84
    AAPL Cover 251.66 2010-Jul-16 10:08:51 251.19 2010-Jul-16 10:13:23 0.47
    IR Sell 34.93 2010-Jul-16 07:36:23 34.36 2010-Jul-16 10:09:33 -0.57
    BA Cover 63.80 2010-Jul-16 09:58:07 63.02 2010-Jul-16 10:01:21 0.78
    AAPL Cover 253.39 2010-Jul-16 09:54:21 251.70 2010-Jul-16 10:00:27 1.69
    CAT Cover 65.09 2010-Jul-16 09:55:57 64.88 2010-Jul-16 09:59:24 0.21
    BA Cover 64.03 2010-Jul-16 09:35:16 63.66 2010-Jul-16 09:49:51 0.37
    X Cover 42.52 2010-Jul-16 09:43:53 42.08 2010-Jul-16 09:49:06 0.44
    ATHN Cover 24.06 2010-Jul-16 07:55:00 23.52 2010-Jul-16 09:48:32 0.54
    GS Cover 151.94 2010-Jul-16 09:36:42 149.89 2010-Jul-16 09:46:30 2.05
     

  • stocksmirf 13:15 on July 16, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Today’s Day Trading Action to 1:14 pm 

    AAPL Sell 249.29 2010-Jul-16 13:08:31 250.49 2010-Jul-16 13:12:18 1.20
    GS Sell 150.01 2010-Jul-16 10:21:46 148.21 2010-Jul-16 13:10:04 -1.80
    AAPL Cover 250.39 2010-Jul-16 13:00:04 248.93 2010-Jul-16 13:05:46 1.46
    AAPL Sell 251.40 2010-Jul-16 10:19:44 250.41 2010-Jul-16 12:59:19 -0.99
    IR Sell 34.30 2010-Jul-16 10:29:59 34.75 2010-Jul-16 12:17:35 0.45
    BP Sell 37.20 2010-Jul-16 10:18:07 37.47 2010-Jul-16 12:17:02 0.27
     

  • stocksmirf 10:46 on July 16, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Today’s Day Trading Action to 10:46 am 

    FCX Cover 62.41 2010-Jul-16 10:08:09 61.68 2010-Jul-16 10:16:25 0.73
    BA Cover 63.21 2010-Jul-16 10:10:48 62.37 2010-Jul-16 10:14:47 0.84
    AAPL Cover 251.66 2010-Jul-16 10:08:51 251.19 2010-Jul-16 10:13:23 0.47
    IR Sell 34.93 2010-Jul-16 07:36:23 34.36 2010-Jul-16 10:09:33 -0.57
     

  • stocksmirf 10:05 on July 16, 2010 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment  

    Today’s Day Trading Action to 10:05 am 

    BA Cover 63.80 2010-Jul-16 09:58:07 63.02 2010-Jul-16 10:01:21 0.78
    AAPL Cover 253.39 2010-Jul-16 09:54:21 251.70 2010-Jul-16 10:00:27 1.69
    CAT Cover 65.09 2010-Jul-16 09:55:57 64.88 2010-Jul-16 09:59:24 0.21
    BA Cover 64.03 2010-Jul-16 09:35:16 63.66 2010-Jul-16 09:49:51 0.37
    X Cover 42.52 2010-Jul-16 09:43:53 42.08 2010-Jul-16 09:49:06 0.44
    ATHN Cover 24.06 2010-Jul-16 07:55:00 23.52 2010-Jul-16 09:48:32 0.54
    GS Cover 151.94 2010-Jul-16 09:36:42 149.89 2010-Jul-16 09:46:30 2.05
     

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