DARTLINE ™ – INVESTMENT MESSAGE BOARD

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• 

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 93.14%

  stocksmirf 16:20 on March 19, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 19 , 2010, 4:00 pm EDT

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 93.14%
  Realized gains for the day —- $128,230.82
  Unrealized gains in BTD portfolio —– $226,240.00
  _________

  BEST IDEA — REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING -2010-Mar-19 14:57:43: BUY $PCBC @ 1.79.

  BEST IDEA — REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING – 2010-Mar-19 14:49:48: BUY $CTIC @ 0.91.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-19 14:38:10: SELL $WGO @ 18.87

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-19 14:31:56: SELL $AC of @ 18,88

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-19 14:24:58: SELL $X @ 59.61 (average)

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $4.50 — 2010-Mar-19 13:50:16: BUY $C @ 3.97.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO– Projected target price $27.00 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-19 13:46:40: BUY $WSM @ 24.25.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $18.20 (including restructure of KHD into two distinct legal entities through the distribution to KHD’s shareholders — see: KHD – News — … Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-19 12:46:07: BUY $KHD @ 13.69.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-19 10:21:41: BUY BAC @ 16.81.

  DAY TRADER – Revisit on valuation — 2010-Mar-19 09:28:33: BUY $ @ 58.96

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-19 09:23:58: COVER $FDS @ 73.23.

  BEST IDEA — REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING – 2010-Mar-19 09:21:55: BUY PCBC @ 1.90.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-19 09:00:05: SELL $VIP @ 17.40.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-19 08:54:01: COVER $HUM @ 49.83

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-19 08:51:35: COVER $CTAS @ 27.75. — Poor Execution.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-19 08:49:41: COVER $BA @ 72.48 — Poor Execution.

  DAY TRADER – Revisit … Use prior SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-19 08:47:51: BUY $X @ 59.49.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-19 08:43:54: SHORT $BA @ 72.53.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-19 08:42:35: SHORT $HUM @ 50.17.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-19 08:31:30: SHORT $CTAS @ 27.82.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-19 08:30:08: SELL $CTAS @ 28.19.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-19 07:21:24: BUY $X @ 59.89.

   

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• 

  Dartline™ First Look - morning directional planner

  stocksmirf 07:56 on March 19, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 19, 2010, 7:00 am EDT — … The Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures down 0.60 to 11661.20, while the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 41.26 points, or 0.7 percent, at 5,683.88, Germany’s DAX rose 24.89 points, or 0.4 percent, to 6,037.20 and CAC-40 in France was 17.16 points, or 0.4 percent, higher at 3,955.34. Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average reversed early losses to climb 80.69 points, or 0.8 percent, to 10,824.72. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.7 percent to 1,686.11 and Hong Kong’s market rose 0.2 percent to 21,370.82. Elsewhere, Shanghai’s market added 0.7 percent, Australia’s index ticked 0.2 percent higher and Taiwan’s market rose 0.2 percent. Oil prices were lower, with the benchmark contract shedding 57 cents to $81.63 a barrel. The contract lost 73 cents overnight. … High-income families would be hit with a tax increase on wages and a new levy on investments under President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul bill. For the first time, the Medicare payroll tax would be applied to investment income, beginning in 2013. A new 3.8 percent tax would be imposed on interest, dividends, capital gains and other investment income for individuals making more than $200,000 a year and couples making more than $250,000. … — Maintain S&P 500 index resistance to 1197.30 and support to 1127.40 from 1102.80. As predicted yesterday, ” … intra-day consolidation” took place ” while near term direction remains up.” Don’t fight the tape … Weak dollar, low interest rates and positive noise that less bad is good are conspiring to make stocks look cheap.

   
• 

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 91.59%

  stocksmirf 17:08 on March 18, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 18 , 2010, 4:00 pm EDT

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 91.59%
  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 77 LONG PRO– Projected target price $31.00 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-18 14:54:15: BUY CTAS @ 27.85.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $21.00 —2010-Mar-18 14:49:12: BUY VIP @ 16.79. … Add to position on valuation

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO — Projected target price $15.90.(new) — 2010-Mar-18 14:46:38: BUY $AA @ 14.31.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $04.00 — 2010-Mar-18 14:42:53: BUY $PCBC @ 2.17. — Poor Execution.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $04.00 — 2010-Mar-18 13:13:19: BUY PCBC @ 2.29.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-18 12:07:22: SELL $X @ 60.61.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration – 2010-Mar-18 11:47:57: BUY $X @ 60.46.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 82 LONG PRO– Projected target price $16.50 (new) — 2010-Mar-18 10:55:24: BUY $WGO @ 13.45. … Add to position on valuation -

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-18 09:36:46: COVER $X @ 61.30.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-18 09:32:29: SHORT $X @ 61.70.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (new)– Projected target price $5.10 (new) — 2010-Mar-18 09:29:05: BUY $NBG @ 4.09

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-18 08:57:29: SELL$NWY @ 4.76.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-18 08:48:48: SELL $JCP @ 31.41.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-18 08:42:32: COVER $FDX @ 87.72.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-18 08:30:26: BUY $JCP @ 31.12.

  DAY TRADER – Special Situation – 2010-Mar-18 08:03:29: SHORT $BIIB @ 58.70.

   
• 

  Dartline™ First Look - morning directional planner

  stocksmirf 07:32 on March 18, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 18, 2010, 7:00 am EDT — … The Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures down 1.10 to 1159.90, as Britain’s FTSE 100 benchmark index down 0.2 percent to 5.632.89, Germany’s DAX down 0.1 percent to 6,016.75 and France’s CAC-40 down 0.3 percent to 3,945.32. Meanwhile, Germany said that Greece’s debt problems can be addressed only by the country’s austerity program, thus suggesting an EU summit next week — Bottom line — Greece would get the blanket guarantee and enable the country to obtain third-party funding at conventional interest rates. … Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average closed down 102.95 points, or 1 percent, to 10,744.03. South Korea’s Kospi index lost 0.5 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 0.3 percent to 21,330.67 and Shanghai’s main index was off 0.1 percent. India’s market shed 0.1 percent. … The dollar was off at 89.96 yen from 90.34 yen. Oil prices fell toward $82 a barrel, paring two days of gains that were fueled by signs U.S. crude demand may be improving. Benchmark crude for April delivery was down 62 cents to $82.31. The contract rose $1.23 overnight. … — Maintain S&P 500 index resistance to 1197.30, while changing support to 1127.40 from 1102.80. After a six-day run on upside, intra-day consolidation due, awhile near term direction remains up. Weak dollar, low interest rates and positive noise that less bad is good are conspiring to make stocks look cheap. Go with the flow and trade the the market on both sides.

   
• 

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 93.12%

  stocksmirf 16:04 on March 17, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 17 , 2010, 4:00 pm EDT

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 93.12%

  BEST IDEA – REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING -2010-Mar-17 14:58:27: BUY NBG @ 4.30.

  BEST IDEA – REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING – 2010-Mar-17 14:54:02: BUY $BPOP @ 2.48.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $02.50 — 2010-Mar-17 14:50:51: BUY DEAR @ 1.46. … Add to position on valuation -

  DAY TRADER – TAKE LOSS ——2010-Mar-17 14:43:07: COVER ABII @ 52.06 — Poor Execution.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO– Projected target price $17.50 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-17 14:29:00: BUY $WGO @ 14.49.

  BEST IDEA – REVISIT – USE PRIOR RATING – 2010-Mar-17 14:26:15: BUY CTIC @ 1.02.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.25 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-17 14:24:01: BUY $VIP @ 18.07.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.25 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-17 14:18:56: BUY NWY @ 4.41. — Poor Execution.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 SHORT PRO — Projected target price $87.00 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-17 14:06:57: SHORT FDX @ 89.56.

  DAY TRADER – Special Situation – 2010-Mar-17 12:18:53: SHORT ABII @ 51.35.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-17 11:44:34: COVER GE @ 18.18.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $02.50 — 2010-Mar-17 11:42:20: BUY $DEAR @ 1.47.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 SHORT PRO — Projected target price $69.50 –2010-Mar-17 11:18:48: SHORT $FDS @ 74.81 – … Add to position on valuation -

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-17 11:15:39: SHORT $GE @ 18.24.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-17 09:37:36: SELL $EM @ 16.43.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-17 09:11:40: SELL $CTIC @ 1.03.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-17 08:39:09: SELL $C @ 4.15.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-17 08:36:02: SELL $BAC @ 17.16.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-17 08:34:15: SELL $NBG @ 4.44.

   
• 

  Dartline™ First Look - morning directional planner

  stocksmirf 07:39 on March 17, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 17, 2010, 7:00 am EDT — … The Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures up 3.70 to 1158.30, as Japan’s Nikkei stock index up 1.2 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 up 0.2 percent, Germany’s DAX index up 0.5 percent, and France’s CAC-40 up 0.5 percent. Key factor: The U.S. Federal Reserve on Tuesday kept a key lending rate at a historically low level, while saying the economy is showing signs of improvement. Indeed, low interest rate environment is here to stay, at least into 2011. … The Labor Department releases its Producer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. EDT., which is likely to fall 0.2 percent in February, according to economists polled by Dartline. Excluding oil and food prices higher at present, past result are meaningless. … The World Bank raised its China growth forecast this year to 9.5 percent from 9 percent on Wednesday but said Beijing needs to cool inflation and possible bubbles in real estate prices. Analysts expect Beijing to raise interest rates soon as it eases off its stimulus after growth rebounded to 10.7 percent in the final quarter of 2009. But authorities say easy credit will continue because the global outlook is uncertain. The World Bank also said more exchange rate flexibility would help if Chinese leaders worry that higher interest rates might draw in speculative capital. Meanwhile, an uninformed group of American lawmakers wrote to President Barack Obama this week urging him to press Beijing to loosen controls that its trading partners say keep the yuan undervalued, giving China’s exporters unfair price advantages. Beijing denies that it does. The World Bank’s chief China economist, Ardo Hansson, said the bank does not follow exchange rate issues and could not comment whether the yuan was undervalued. Washington and other trading partners are pressing Beijing to ease currency controls that have kept its yuan steady against the dollar for 18 months to help exporters compete amid weak global demand. Many analysts, but not Dartline, expect the government to gradually raise the yuan’s value this year but to keep control over exchange rates. — Change S&P 500 index resistance to 1197.30 from 1150.41. Near term direction is up, even as volume remains weak. Option expiration should change add to volume, but with new money entering the market is rise in index more manipulation than substance. Be careful and trade the noise.

   
• 

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 90.97%

  stocksmirf 16:04 on March 16, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 16 , 2010, 4:00 pm EDT

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 90.97%
  ________

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-16 13:39:20: COVER $X @ 61.69 (average).

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-16 13:31:41: SHORT $X @ 61.91.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 SHORT PRO — Projected target price $69.50 (new)– 2010-Mar-16 11:36:05: SHORT FDS @ 73.69 -… Add to position on valuation -

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-16 10:42:02: SELL GS @ 175.18.

  CLOSEOUT 50% of POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-16 10:35:30: SELL $GS @ 175.15.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board –2010-Mar-16 10:22:31: SELL $BPOP @ 2.60.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO– Projected target price $10.70 — 2010-Mar-16 09:50:31: BUY $GOK @ 7.79. … Add to position on valuation -

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-16 09:35:45: SELL NILE @ 56.22

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-16 09:33:37: SELL $BA @ 68.89.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-16 09:32:11: SELL X @ 61.68.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $18.00 — … Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-16 09:12:14: BUY $EM @ 16.25.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-16 09:02:02: BUY $X @ 61.33.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-16 09:00:07: BUY $BA @ 68.81.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE LOSS on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-16 08:52:40: SELL $GSI @ 4.06.

   
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  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 81. 03%

  stocksmirf 14:45 on March 16, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 15 , 2010, 4:00 pm EDT

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 81. 03%

  __________

  March 15 , 2010

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO (recently added to database)(new) — Projected target price $04.00 -2010-Mar-15 14:50:55: BUY $BPOP @ 2.25 … Add to position on valuation -

  DAY TRADER – TAKE LOSS —2010-Mar-15 14:27:45: COVER AIG @ 35.13.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO– Projected target price $4.90 (new) — 2010-Mar-15 13:47:02: BUY $NBG @ 4.34 — Poor Execution.. — Revisit . Use prior values with any posted changes.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 SHORT PRO — Projected target price $65.00 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-15 13:33:43: SHORT FDS @ 71.31.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $05.35 — … Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-15 13:02:13: BUY GSI @ 4.36.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $10.70 — … Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-15 12:55:04: BUY $GOK @ 8.43

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-15 11:54:25: SELL $X @ 60.07.

  DAY TRADER - Revisit … Use prior SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-15 11:21:21: BUY $X @ 59.97.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-15 10:47:28: SELL X @ 59.89.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-15 10:32:36: BUY $X @ 59.55.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-15 10:11:06: COVER $WHR @ 85.73 — Poor Execution.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration – 2010-Mar-15 09:34:41: SHORT $WHR @ 85.87.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-15 08:55:00: COVER HAS @ 37.62.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT on entire position —2010-Mar-15 08:44:34: COVER $ICE @ 108.03.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-15 08:41:16: SHORT $ICE @ 108.10.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-15 08:34:29: SHORT $HAS @ 37.72.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-15 08:34:29: SELL $NBG @ 4.41. —- Intent to revisit.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-15 08:30:31: SHORT $ICE @ 110.23.

   
• 

  UPDATE - AIG - PRO - 77

  stocksmirf 13:30 on March 16, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  

  MACD

  ———
  Cover at $33.45 – Take porofit

   
• 

  Dartline™ First Look - morning directional planner

  stocksmirf 07:32 on March 16, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 16, 2010, 7:00 am EDT — … The Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures up 2.50 to 1148.20, as Britain’s FTSE 100 up 0.7 percent, Germany’s DAX index up 0.7 percent, and France’s CAC-40 up 0.9 percent. Bernanke concludes a meeting where he is expected to keep a key interest rate at historic lows. Near zero interest rates is the flavor of the year with limited adjustments. Meanwhile the carry trade will keep pumping free money into stocks and the only reasons to buy paper. The SPIN that if the economy improves the Fed will need to start increasing rates to fight expected inflation. Wrong: Inflation will remain low as real unemployment remains over 16 percent. Indeed, whatever the Fed’s statement after its meeting, Stockville will be encouraged. The Fed has repeatedly said inflation is not a near-term problem, and it plans to keep rates low for an “extended period.” … The Commerce Department report due at 8:30 a.m. EDT.is expected to indicate housing construction likely slipped in February because of bad weather across much of the country. Economists polled by Dartline predict housing construction fell 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 570,000 last month. Construction activity hit a six-month high in January. The report is also expected to show applications for new building permits fell to an annual rate of 610,000 units last month from 621,000 in January. Applications are considered a good sign of future activity. A collapse in the housing market helped push the economy into recession. A recovery has been slow and bumpy, which has helped to keep a broader economic recovery in check. … Bond prices dipped ahead of the Fed’s meeting, pushing interest rates higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.71 percent from 3.70 percent late Monday. The dollar fell slightly against other major currencies, while gold and oil up. … — With the S&P 500 index near resistance at 1150.41, how it reacts at this juncture will indicate direction. Not the time to guess — wait for reaction and act accordingly. The problem: Limited new money entering the market. Until that happens, no conviction to direction.

   
• 

  ... from Jellybean Trader

  stocksmirf 17:08 on March 15, 2010 | 1 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  As of March 15, 2010, 4:00 pm EDT … The JELLYBEAN TRADER FUND (JB STOCK FUND) portfolio for the year to date has a realized gains of $18,108.00 and unrealized gains $10,465.20, representing total portfolio increase of $28,573.20. JB STOCK FUND portfolio gain — year 2010 to date: 61.33 percent.
  Review full details from the Trading Desk, and JB Stock Fund.http://jellybeantrader.com/

   
• 

  Make Your Stock Pick for the Next Contest.

  stocksmirf 06:52 on March 15, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  “It’s time for the Journal’s 39th Investment Dartboard, and we’re adding a new twist.” —- Choose a stock you think will do well over the next six months. Six readers will be selected to complete against the portfolio chosen by Sunday Journal staffers tossing darts at the stock listings. You know — the J.P. Morgan way. The reader whose stock performs best between March 31 and September 30 will win a Sunday Journal tote bad, lifetime bragging rights, and, more important, a full, one-year access to Beat the Dart. … Email your picks to sundaydartboard@wsi.com. include your name, address, daytime phone number and the name of the newspaper or website you read Sunday Journal Investment. Become famous and met the Smirf.

   
• 

  Today's Action - 31.03% performance gain

  stocksmirf 17:24 on March 12, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 12 , 2010, 4:00 pm EST

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 31.03%

  ^^^

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $04.00 — 2010-Mar-12 14:51:04: BUY $BPOP @ 2.31. … Add to position on valuation -

  BEST IDEA – No SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – Special Situation – — Projected target price $1.70 – 2010-Mar-12 14:32:45: BUY $CTIC @ 0.97

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $18.50 (new) — 2010-Mar-12 14:07:52: BUY $BAC @ 16.81. — Include Day Trader position.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.75 — 2010-Mar-11 12:14:11:2010-Mar-12 12:12:39: BUY $C @ 4.04. … Add to position on valuation -

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $19.25. –2010-Mar-12 11:42:48: BUY $GGP @ 14.61.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration – 2010-Mar-12 09:18:30: BUY $BAC @ 17.11.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-12 09:02:02: SELL $ZQK @ 3.56.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE LOSS — 2010-Mar-12 08:55:47: SELL $HBI @ 27.00.

  DAY TRADER … Closed out at even or near even on entire position – 2010-Mar-12 08:53:28: SELL $HBAN @ 5.57. . — Poor Execution.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE LOSS on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-12 08:50:04: SELL $PSUN @ 5.05.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE LOSS —2010-Mar-12 08:48:34: COVER $NFLX @ 70.10. — Poor Execution.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration –2010-Mar-12 08:46:17: BUY $HBAN @ 5.56.

  DAY TRADER – Special Situation – 2010-Mar-12 08:38:07: SHORT $NFLX @ 70.04.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-12 08:30:39: BUY $HBI @ 27.11.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $04.00 — 2010-Mar-12 07:55:23: BUY $BPOP @ 2.32 (new)

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO– Projected target price $205..00 — 2010-Mar-12 07:49:26: BUY $GS @ 175.00.

   
• 

  Dartline™ First Look - morning directional planner

  stocksmirf 08:57 on March 12, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  March 12, 2010, 7:00 am EST — … The Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures up 2.30 to 1148.79, as overseas markets strong — Japan’s Nikkei stock average up 0.8 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 up 0.4 percent, Germany’s DAX index up 0.7 percent, and France’s CAC-40 up 0.5 percent. … The Commerce Department reports on retail sales for February at 8:30 a.m. EST. Dartline predicts retail sales up less than 0.1 percent last month, even though weakness in demand for autos and the severe winter storms that hit much of the country. Earlier this month, the International Council of Shopping Centers reported that sales jumped 3.7 percent in February compared to a year ago, the biggest gain since November 2007, the month before the recession began. … Data from the Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for March on consumer sentiment due at 10 a.m. EST. will show positive signal that consumers’ spending is returning. Indeed, higher consumer spending is vital because it accounts for about 70 percent of economic activity. Economists have cautioned, though, that any spending increases could falter as unemployment weighs on a sustained recovery. The nation’s unemployment rate was 9.7 percent in February. … Meanwhile, bond prices were flat Friday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, was unchanged from 3.73 percent late Thursday. The dollar fell against other major currencies, while gold prices rose. … The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA), which advises oil-consuming countries, predicted in its monthly report that oil demand will average 86.6 million barrels a day this year, or 1.6 million barrels a day more than in 2009. Thus, world oil demand will rise this year due to surging economic activity in Asian countries, especially China, the International Energy Agency said Friday as it bumped up its forecasts. “China is currently expected to account for almost a third of global oil demand growth in 2010,” the IEA said. Global oil demand fell 1.4 percent last year compared to 2008, as the Great Recession caused oil demand in OECD countries to drop by the biggest amount since the early 1980s. While oil demand in OECD countries is seen contracting in 2010 for the third consecutive year, growth in developing countries is more than picking up the slack, the IEA said. “This year’s global oil demand growth will be driven entirely by non-OECD countries, with non-OECD Asia alone representing over half of total growth,” the IEA said. This year’s rebound is forecast to be driven by China, where the IEA said preliminary data indicated that demand “surged by an astonishing 28 percent year-on-year in January.” — Toady’s the day —- Even though the market has moved higher with limited volume, go with what the tape is saying. With the S&P 500 index at resistance (1150.41) — maintain Dartline view stated this Tuesday: “Critical next two days as the index will determine near term direction whether resistance holds or not. Meanwhile, trade the market cautiously with a neutral bias.” Tracking volume important factor to determine direction. Stay focused and trade on the noise — “Less bad is the new good.”

   
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  Today's Action - 81.76% performance gain

  stocksmirf 17:34 on March 11, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Today’s Action
  …March 11 , 2010, 4:00 pm EST

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating was 81.76%

  ^^^

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 77 LONG PRO– Projected target price $04.00–22010-Mar-11 14:57:41: BUY $ZQK @ 3.14. … Add to position on valuation -

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.25 (new) –2010-Mar-11 14:50:17: BUY $NBG @ 4.22. … Add to position on valuation -

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 77 LONG PRO– Projected target price $06.80 — Earnings Play – 2010-Mar-11 14:41:10: BUY PSUN @ 5.72.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.75 — 2010-Mar-11 13:14:38: BUY C @ 4.09. … Add to position on valuation -

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 81 LONG PRO– Projected target price $05.75 — 2010-Mar-11 12:14:11: BUY C @ 4.13.

  DAY TRADER … Closed out at even or near even on entire position – 2010-Mar-11 11:49:48: COVER $$SNV @ 3.34.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-11 11:46:39: SELL $C @ 4.11.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT –2010-Mar-11 11:40:04: SELL $TMN @ 36.10

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-11 11:15:03: SHORT $SNV @ 3.35.

  DAY TRADER – Special Situation – 2010-Mar-11 11:11:21: BUY $ITMN @ 35.95.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-11 10:55:29: COVER $BUCY @ 64.10.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-11 10:39:26: SHORT $BUCY @ 64.22.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $59.00 –2010-Mar-11 10:30:14: BUY $NILE @ 55.14. — Poor Execution.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE LOSS on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-11 10:10:50: COVER $CAKE @ 26.99.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-11 10:05:42: COVER $X @ 59.91 (average) .

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-11 10:00:47: SELL $HBAN @ 5.53 —- Intent to revisit.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration – 2010-Mar-11 09:57:47: SHORT $X @ 60.18.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-11 09:08:06: SELL $IMAX @ 16.63. (poor execution)

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-11 09:04:05: SELL $X @ 59.45.

  DAY TRADER – Macd consideration –2010-Mar-11 09:00:29: BUY $X @ 59.22

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-11 08:56:50: COVER $HSY @ 41.41.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating – 2010-Mar-11 08:35:37: $BUY C @ 4.02.

  BEST IDEA — SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $07.90 — 2010-Mar-11 08:33:24: BUY $HBAN @ 5.32.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-11 08:30:08: SHORT $HSY @ 41.50.

   
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  Contra-opinion on $IMAX

  stocksmirf 14:38 on March 11, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Check this contra-opinion —- Brigantine says Imax has undergone a significant transition — from film to digital, from the museum to the mall and from highly leveraged cash constrained business to one with a clean balance sheet and strong profitability. Firm notes rising consumer interest in 3D and strong support from exhibitors and studios paves the way for the company’s continued success. On the heels of a big Q4 and headed into an even better Q1, they are raising ests and tgt to $22 from $14, reflecting a 25x multiple on new De10E EPS of $0.90. Firm says Imax reported a monster fourth quarter as the combination of the expanding joint venture model and a strong film slate drove growth well beyond their expectations. The company reported EPS (ex-SBC) of $0.20. They had modeled $39.6M/$0.08 and the consensus (which contains a mix of estimates with and without SBC) was $45.3M/$0.08. Firm says note that on a GAAP basis the company reported EPS of $0.07, which included the impact of $8.9 mln in charges related to stock appreciation rights.

   
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  UPDATE: $IMAX - Profit PROFIT

  stocksmirf 14:26 on March 11, 2010 | 1 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Even though profits were taken at higher prices, many BTD followers use our EXIT POINTS to determine range of the stock’s potential direction. However in this instant, EXIT at current levels justified. — Look at another opinion. Imax: Looking past 4Q results concerns about business risk remain – Merriman (16.33 +0.18) — Merriman notes that IMAX reported 4Q results with revs of $54.2 mln vs. the firm’s $42.9 mln est (consensus of $46.7 mln) and EPS of $0.06 vs. the firm’s estimate of $0.08 (consensus of $0.07). GM’s came in at 51.4% vs. the firm’s est of 54.0% and operating margins came in at 11.6% vs. the firm’s est of 19.6%. Looking past the co’s 4Q results, the firm believes that IMAX’s current valuation on FY11 estimates of 6.0x revenues, 15.6x EBITDA and 35.2x EPS reflects investor optimism that the box office success of Avatar will be replicated with 3D releases in 2010 and beyond. However, the firm believes IMAX’s box office results and overall profitability are likely to decline considerably with the influx of additional 3D competition — something the firm believes many investors have not fully considered. The firm feels that an EBITDA multiple of 10-11x on their FY10 estimate of $71 mln is more than appropriate given the current outlook — yielding downside risk for IMAX shares to the $10.00-11.00 level. However, should the firm’s predictions on business model disruptions prove correct, they could see downside well below those levels.

   
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  UPDATE: $IMAX

  stocksmirf 10:18 on March 11, 2010 | 3 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  IMAX — RETAIN LONG POSITION TO EXIT POINT — Pre-Market: 17.43 Up 1.41 (8.80%)

   
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  Today's Action - 91.92%

  stocksmirf 17:47 on March 10, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  Performance: SPM+Game Theory PRO rating 91.92%

  Today’s Action
  03.10.10. 4:00 pm EST

  …March 10 , 2010

  ^^^

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 80 LONG PRO– Projected target price $4.90 (new) — 2010-Mar-10 14:39:38: BUY $NBG @ 4.32

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-10 14:36:32: COVER BA @ 70.17

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT — 2010-Mar-10 14:34:48: COVER X @ 59.89.

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 79 LONG PRO– Projected target price $17.00 — Earnings Play- 2010-Mar-10 14:14:47: BUY IMAX @ 15.79.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-10 14:04:52: SHORT $BA @ 70.23.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-10 14:00:37: SHORT $X @ 60.11.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 10:40:11: SELL $COP @ 51.49.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-10 10:22:21: SELL $YRCW @ 0.52.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-10 10:18:14: SELL $BAC @ 17.23.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 10:17:31: SELL $C @ 4.01.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE LOSS on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 10:07:26: SELL $FLOW @ 3.07.

  CLOSEOUT 1/2 of existing POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-10 10:04:38: SELL$ BAC @ 17.28.

  DAY TRADER … Closed out at even or near even on entire position – 2010-Mar-10 10:02:01: SELL $X @ 60.48.

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-10 09:33:56: COVER $ITMN @ 38.43.

  BEST IDEA – NO SPM+Game Theory PRO rating– Projected target price $7.00 –2010-Mar-10 09:19:29: BUY $CHME.OB @ 4.35. – Special Situation – add to position

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE LOSS on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 09:16:54: SELL $TIVO @ 16.55.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating –2010-Mar-10 09:12:52: BUY $X @ 60.48.

  CLOSEOUT 1/3 of POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 08:51:01: SELL $BAC @ 17.11

  DAY TRADER – TAKE PROFIT —2010-Mar-10 08:45:07: SELL $SONC @ 9.31

  BEST IDEA – SPM+Game Theory 78 LONG PRO (recently added to database) — Projected target price $02.00 –2010-Mar-10 08:43:16: BUY $ETFC @ 1.67.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board – 2010-Mar-10 08:38:21: SELL $AA @ 13.71.

  CLOSEOUT POSITION – TAKE PROFIT on BEST IDEA posting as confirmed on the Financial Message Board -2010-Mar-10 08:35:13: SELL X @ 60.82.

  DAY TRADER – Special Situation – 2010-Mar-10 08:32:46: SHORT ITMN @ 38.63.

  DAY TRADER – Change in SPM+Game Theory PRO rating -2010-Mar-10 08:07:07: BUY SONC @ 9.10.

  BEST IDEA – NO SPM+Game Theory PRO rating– Projected target price $7.00 –2010-Mar-10 07:28:59: BUY CHME.OB @ 4.27. – Special Situation –

   
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  UPDATE: $GGC

  stocksmirf 16:33 on March 10, 2010 | 0 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment
  

  RETAIN POSITION TO EXIT POINT —–
  3:22PM ET: 16.72 Up 1.02 (6.50%)

  Best Idea — – SPM+Game Theory 82 LONG PRO – Projected target price $19.00 (new)- add to position – 2010-Feb-22 11:47:54: BUY GGC @ 15.34.